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MLB Game Preview & Predictions: Marlins vs Phillies—October 1, 2021 - Fish Stripes

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Welcome to Friday’s Marlins (65-94, -76 RD) vs. Phillies (81-78, -13 RD) game thread. The motivation for the Marlins this weekend is to avoid a last-place finish; the motivation for the Phils is to lock up their first winning season since 2011.

During every Marlins game, join in on the Fish Picks prop bets fun. They give you something to focus on even with the team out of World Series contention. Please use this link!

Picks are only valid if submitted to us prior to first pitch.

The Fish Picks leaderboard is updated daily. Nobody picked a Perfect Game on Thursday.

At the end of each month, the Fish Picks winner—whoever has the percentage of correct picks (among qualifiers)—will receive a hand-painted Trevor Rogers baseball card.


Phillies Starting Lineup

  1. LF Odúbel Herrera
  2. 2B Ronald Torreyes
  3. RF Bryce Harper
  4. 1B Brad Miller
  5. SS Didi Gregorius
  6. 3B Freddy Galvis
  7. CF Travis Jankowski
  8. C Andrew Knapp
  9. LHP Ranger Suárez (2021 season stats: 1.45 ERA, 2.80 FIP, 25.1 K%, 31.3 HardHit% in 99.0 IP)
Ranger Suárez - 2021 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed Baseball Savant

Notes: For the 10th straight season, the Phillies will be watching the MLB postseason from the couch. They enter Friday on a four-game losing streak, which matches their longest of 2021...The Venezuelan southpaw Suárez has been a revelation. His 287 ERA+ (100 represents league average) is one of the best single-season marks ever for somebody with as many innings pitched as he has. Put another way, it’s the most valuable season in terms of Baseball-Reference Wins Above Replacement (5.2 rWAR) for somebody with so few innings.

MLB career stats for active Phillies players vs. Sandy Alcantara
MLB career stats for active Phillies players vs. Sandy Alcantara
Stathead

Marlins Starting Lineup

  1. SS Jazz Chisholm Jr.
  2. RF Bryan De La Cruz
  3. 1B Lewin Díaz
  4. LF Lewis Brinson
  5. 3B Eddy Alvarez
  6. C Payton Henry
  7. CF Magneuris Sierra
  8. 2B Deven Marrero
  9. RHP Sandy Alcantara (2021 season stats: 3.09 ERA, 3.37 FIP, 24.0 K%, 39.1 HardHit% in 200.2 IP)
Sandy Alcantara - 2021 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed Baseball Savant

Notes: Lots of roster moves were made earlier in the day, as reflected here...Alcantara this season has given the Fish a rare blend of workload and whiffs. He’s five away from reaching 200 strikeouts...The most well-rested pitchers available in the Marlins bullpen are Anthony Bass, Anthony Bender, Richard Bleier, Paul Campbell, Dylan Floro, Steven Okert and Zach Pop.


How to watch/listen/follow

First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Watch on Bally Sports Florida or listen to the radio broadcast on 940 WINZ.

I will handle the game recap article.

Fish Picks

Please submit your picks for the following props. The contest locks at first pitch.

  1. Who gets more total bases? (Bryce Harper/Bryan De La Cruz)
  2. Over/Under 8.5 strikeouts for Sandy Alcantara? (Over/Under)
  3. Over/Under 7,500 announced attendance? (Over/Under)
  4. Will the Marlins steal any bases? (Yes/No)
  5. Who wins? (Phillies/Marlins)

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MLB Game Preview & Predictions: Marlins vs Phillies—October 1, 2021 - Fish Stripes
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